Available Inventory of Homes for Sale Down, Yet Buyers are Still Abundant – Now May Be a Good Time to List Your Home For Sale

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Appreciation and Depreciation of 3-Bedroom Houses in Select SF Neighborhoods Since 1995

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WeeklyBasis 3/5/10: How To See Beyond Rate Headlines

Despite a rate uptick today after a better than expected February jobs report, rates are holding to their sub-5% levels reached last week. To be specific: the market closed today at 4.75% on a 30yr fixed for a single family home with at least 20% equity, a loan of $417k or less, points of 1%, and a borrower credit score of 740 or greater. Headlines can be misleading since rates vary based on property type, borrower profile, loan amount, and fees.

Also be aware that most press reports on rates are based on Freddie Mac’s weekly average nationwide rate survey which is published Thursdays. The report is for the rates on loans with parameters noted above, and headlines rarely mention average points for the average rates highlighted. So if you’re reading press reports, read long enough to see what the average points are. And if you want to go to the source, it’s available here: http://www.freddiemac.com/pmms/.

As for current rates on all tiers from $417k to $2m, see below. These are also single family home scenarios, and they’re as of market close today. Rates change all day everyday as mortgage bonds trade.

We’re now in the home stretch of the Fed’s mortgage rate stimulus program that began January 1, 2009 and will end March 31, 2010. The Fed has been buying mortgage bonds all this time to drive bond prices up and yields (or rates) down. Rates dropped 1% at the inception of this program and have held that range. Here’s a more detailed piece I wrote this morning on what might happen as we approach March 31 and beyond: http://bit.ly/cH5Zgb

Next week is fairly tame in terms of economic data, so we’ll open the week with markets continuing to digest jobs data. Have a great weekend…

The Basis Point

 

 

 

 

 

The Basis Point

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Dramatic Views from Every Room of this Exclusive Glenbrook Estate

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This gorgeous home, surrounded by US Forest, has absolutely breathtaking panoramic lake views. No room without a view: Great room, gourmet kitchen, 3 en-suite bedrooms, main-level master suite, family room, office and bonus room, embraced by alder wainscoting and radiantly heated hickory floors. Hi-tech amenities at your service: Electronic shades, programmable lighting & sound to accommodate every mood; a security camera, alarm system and gated drive safeguard this very exclusive estate.

 

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Listing provided by Chase International, Lake Tahoe ~ An Artisan Group Partner

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UP

From the AIA-SF press release:

The past decade has seen an overwhelming emergence of green roofs and vertical gardens, designed to combat the lack of flora in the city. Buildings around the world—from the Musée du Quai Branly in Paris, to the California Academy of Sciences in San Francisco—have embraced green walls or roofs for their economical, environmental, and aesthetic values. Vertical farms and gardens are also being envisioned as new ways to feed local and organic foods to city dwellers. Largely based on the principles of hydro-ponics, vertical gardens are mostly self-sustaining because they capture large amounts of natural sunlight and water, and use wind as an energy source. In a country where cities are suffocated by high rises, cement and industrial materials, where can green space exist? One possible answer is “up”.

I highly recommend this exhibit. The American Institute of Architects, San Francisco Chapter and the Center for Architecture + Design Gallery are presenting “Vertical Gardens”, on view February 25 – April 30, 2010.  The address is 130 Sutter Street, M-F 9 a.m. to 5 p.m.

The Sunset magazine website has a “how to” for succulent panels.

http://www.sunset.com/garden/backyard-projects/diy-vertical-succulent-garden-project-00400000063442/

Other vertical garden options on the Sunset website.

http://www.sunset.com/garden/how-to-garden-anywhere-00400000064907/

I hope you enjoyed this article and it was inspiring!

Matthew Schoenwald

http://www.calypsolandscape.com


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Upcoming and Pocket Listings from Paragon Real Estate Group

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Call Katy for more information on any of these exclusive listings…

Upcoming listings:

$2,995,000 // Ashby Heights // 908 Asbury Street   BR/BA: 5/4.5 PKG:   2 Brief Description:  Extensively remodeled HUGE home w/big backyard. On Market mid-March Property

$1,299,000 // Noe Valley // 1107 Diamond Street  BR/BA:  3/2 PKG:   1 Brief Description: Beautiful 3 bedroom 2 bath peaked roof Victorian home in the heart Noe Valley. Wood burning fireplaces, outdoor space from every level, master w/a large walk-out deck, views & hot tub

$1,195,000 // Inner Sunset // 326 Lawton Street BR/BA: 3+/2 PKG: 2 Brief Description: Stylish and spacious family home on prime block; great architectural detail, remodeled kitchen and baths, formal living and dining rooms + family room down, three bedroom/flexible floor plan up, home office on ground level opening to landscaped back yard, large deck off kitchen, walking distance to Inner Sunset shops and Golden Gate Park

$769,000 // Duboce Park // 62A Walter Street BR/BA: 2/1 PKG: 1 Brief Description: Edwardian condo in 3-unit building. Big Kitchen, formal dining room with Shared yard

$679,000 //SOMA //1247 Harrison #15 BR/BA: 1/1.5 PKG:  2 Brief Description: Premier 1400 + square foot top floor corner 2-level live/work loft with 2 car parking at H2O Lofts! Completed in 2004, this one-of-a-kind loft development offers the finest in architectural detail and finishes. Large sleeping mezzanine with stunning marble master bath, gorgeous kitchen with granite counters and stainless steel appliances, maple hardwood floors, gas fireplace, large private deck off the bedroom  Elevator Building.

$599,000 //Portola //258 Harvard St BR/BA: 2/2 PKG: 1 Brief Description:  Turn-key, sharp 1940’s home one block to Mclaren. Period detail; corner FP; hardwood. Remodeled Kit/Baths. Skylights. Large, level, landscaped yard. Bonus room down.

Pocket Listings:

$TBD // Clarendon Heights // 20 Palo Alto Ave BR/BA: 5/5.5 PKG: 2+ Brief Description: Contemporary home with unparallel views from Pacific Ocean to Hayward. View from four levels of the home Amenities: home theater, family room, three decks, ipen floor plan.

$980,000 //Corona Heights // 257 States St BR/BA: 3/2 PKG: 1 Brief Description: Top-floor condo with dramatic views.  It will be fully remodeled with new appliances by end of March

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Median Sales Price Appreciation & Depreciation in Selected San Francisco Neighborhoods-2-Bedroom Condominiums

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Making the Mortgage Process Quick and Easy

Richard Redmond of All California Mortgage

Richard Redmond of All California Mortgage

Remember the skull and crossbones warning sign that always appears on poison bottles in cartoons? Well, in this day and age, that should be the logo on the front of a loan application. In trying to atone for their sins of the past, the banks in general, and Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in particular, have intensified their scrutiny of all information that borrowers provide, and have become increasingly rigid in their requirements. With that in mind, here are some tips for avoiding the increasingly common delays and problems in the mortgage application process.

1) You will generally be asked for the two most recent account statements in order to verify the assets listed on your loan application. The lender wants actual statements – not internet print-outs. If you have gone ‘paperless’ you should be able to go to your bank/brokerage website and find your statements available in pdf format; often you can save and then e-mail the pdf to your lender, the quickest and easiest solution.

2) On any document that the lender has requested, especially account statements, it is important that you provide all of the pages, even blank ones. If a lender sees ‘page 3 of 13’ you will be asked to provide all 13 pages, and there are no exceptions to this rule.

3) If you are self-employed you may be asked to provide a P&L for the period since your last tax return was filed. This does not have to be audited, or prepared by a CPA. If you are preparing it yourself, it is easy to use your most recent 1040 Schedule C as a template for the information needed. If the P&L is substantially different than your most recently filed 1040 Schedule C, be prepared to explain why. If the income on the P&L is lower, the lender will probably use the P&L figure, not an average of the last two or three years.

4) Check with your lending officer before taking on any new credit obligations, an auto loan or lease, furniture purchase, or a boat loan, for example. If you do increase your debt, make sure your lending officer knows. A new loan that turns up before a close can cause delays, and could jeopardize an approval.

5) Lenders will want any unusual increases in the balance of an account explained and verified. Moving money between different accounts will usually require a paper-trail to show the money leaving one account and going into another. If an account balance shows an increase, and the money came from a third party, you will need a gift letter or a good explanation of the source of those funds. Lenders will often want down payment money tracked at the end of a transaction, and the statements provided to track these funds will often result in additional questions about changes in account balances. As a rule, let your lending officer know before you move your money around, and let the lending officer know in advance which account your down payment will be coming from.

6) Let your lending officer know early on if you will be taking title in the name of a trust, or if one or more borrowers will need to have someone else sign by using a power-of-attorney.

7) If you are going to be out of town at any time before close of escrow, let your lending officer know well in advance. Normally, you will be signing your loan papers approximately one week before close of escrow. Knowing your travel schedule in advance should enable your lending officer to work with you on timelines.

8) Be responsive to your lending officer’s requests. After a loan has been conditionally approved many lenders will not review the items that they have requested until all of them have been received. At that point, they may request additional documentation. It is very important that everything is provided as quickly as possible. One missing document can cause a major delay in the approval process.

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The Pace of Home Sales in San Francisco Picks Up…

In January 2010, the average days on the market (DOM) fell to the lowest level since September 2008 , another sign of increasing demand for San Francisco real estate.

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WeeklyBasis: Is The Rate Party Over?, Preview of Wild Market Week Coming

Extreme rate volatility discussed in this report two weeks ago still holds. Rates traded up and down about .375% this week on fears about business inflation and Fed rate hikes. Today’s tame consumer inflation contributed to rates dropping again, and rates end the week roughly .25% above all time record lows. But this record low rate window looks to be closing. Rates could rise by about 0.5% by summer for three reasons:

(1) The Fed will end it’s $1.25t mortgage bond buying program March 31 (they’re 95.8% into their MBS buying budget as of today), and then we’ll likely see profit taking on mortgage bonds as private investors sell, which pushes prices down and yields—or rates—up. The San Francisco Chronicle published a very good consumer-friendly story on this topic Monday, and my quote in that story explains other factors affecting rates after March 31: http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2010/02/15/MNSP1BVILP.DTL

(2) An improving economy and resulting inflationary fear will cause mortgage bonds to sell off because inflation eats up bond returns, so this would also push bond prices down and rates up. This happened yesterday when business inflation numbers came out hotter than expected, and we may see more of this in the coming months.

(3) Inflation will cause the Fed to start hiking short rates from current near-zero levels. Global investors currently borrow on these short-term rates to buy long-term securities with higher returns. When short rates rise, it will erode the benefit of this interest rate trade and force selling of long-term securities—including mortgage bonds—to repay short-term loans. That selling will also push rates higher. The Fed hiked the overnight Fed-to-bank Discount Rate by .25% (to .75%) last night and this is the first sign that the Fed is starting to move toward a short-rate hiking bias.

Volatility will continue next week with a packed economic calendar as follows:

Tuesday: S&P Case Shiller December Home Price report, Consumer Confidence, House Financial Services Committee debate whether more stimulus is needed

Wednesday: New Home Sales, Treasury Secretary testifies to Congress on budget, Ben Bernanke testifies to Congress on Fed policy and economic outlook

Thursday: Bernanke Congressional testimony continues

Friday: Personal Income & Spending, 4Q09 GDP revision 2 of 3, Existing Home Sales

All week: Five senior Fed policy makers will be making public speeches on the economy.

All week: Various Treasury auctions totaling $126b. These securities compete with mortgage bonds, so we may see more selling pressure on mortgage bonds as a result.

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